Well last week was pretty good. I managed to go 4-1 and now rest at 15-15 on the season (I started late). This week is a tough one and I am figuring out my picks as I type this…literally…so bear with me.
Packers (+1) @ Steelers
Let’s face it…the Steelers are over rated. They have been terrible all season against the spread (3-10) and have been particularly bad the past 5 weeks (0-5). At home they are only 2-4 while the Packers are 4-2 on the road. I think the Steelers could pull this out but I will take the Pack to win in what equates to a pick-em.
Falcons @ Jets (-4.5)
This is a bit of a change from my original plan. This really comes down to the weather. It is going to be cold and windy in New York and with the Jets defense playing well again I don’t think Atlanta will be able to move the ball at all.
Texans (-10) @ Rams
The Rams are actually a respectable 6-7 against the spread this season but the Texans are an impressive 4-2 on the road and with the way they played last week and with the playoffs on the line (a reach but still alive) I think they come out and pound the Rams.
Bucs @ Seahawks (-7)
Seattle at home is always tough to beat even against good teams. This game might actually be a reach but my decision is based on two things…one the Seahawks are at home and Tampa is no where near Seattle…and two the Seahawks are 3-1 in games they were favored to win this season. Make it 4-1.
Giants @ Redskins (+3)
I have been burned multiple times by the Skins this season and if my memory serves me correct I am also 0-3 on Monday night. But the Skins have been solid of late (5-0 ATS last 5 weeks) while the Giants have been terrible since week 5 (1-7 in last 8).
Last week I took 5 road teams and ended up 4-1. This week it is more even and I intend to go 5-0 but I would accept 3-2 as I would be over .500 for the year.
